World Covid Meter 11th June 213 Countries: Wear mask at home

Auhtor : Dr KK Aggarwal , President CMAAO, HCFI and Past National President IMA

India

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New Delhi, June 11, 2020 :

Cases:1M: April 2, 2 M April 15, 3 M: April 27, 4 M May 8; 5 M 20 May, 6 M 30^th May, 7 M 7^th June, 8M by ?15 June

Ground Zero: Wuhan in live animal market or cafeteria for animal pathogens: 10th January; Total cases are based on RT PCR, 67% sensitivity

Doubling time India 15 days, USA 33 days, Brazil 13days, Russia 18 days, Spain 47 days, UK 35 days, Italy 55 days, France 49 days, Turkey 37 days,

Likely minimum deaths (418872 + 53811 x 15 = 8072) = 426943

Coronavirus Cases: 7,451,523

Deaths: 418,872

Recovered: 3,733,376

ACTIVE CASES 3,299,275

Currently Infected Patients 3,245,464 (98%) in Mild Condition

53,811 (2%) Serious or Critical

CLOSED CASES 4,152,248

Cases which had an outcome: 3,733,376 (90%) Recovered / Discharged

418,872 (10%) Deaths

955.3 cases per million population (India 208)

53.6 deaths per million population (India 6)

India Doubling Time: 15 Days.

#	Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Deaths/ 1M pop	Total Tests	Tests/ 1M pop	Population
1	India	287,155	+12,375	8,107	+388	140,979	138,069	8,944	208	6	5,061,332	3,670	1,379,233,699
	Total:	7,446,229	+134,705	418,137	+5,165	3,730,056	3,298,036	53,812	955.3	53.6

28 Days

Date	Daily new cases	New Deaths	Total cases	Total Deaths
10^th June	12375	388	287155	8107
9^th June	10218	277	276146	7750 (2.8%)
8th	8442	266	265928	7473
7^th June	10864	261	257486	7207
6^th June	10438	297	246622	6947
5^th June	9471	286	236184	6649
4^th June	9889	275	226713	275
3^rd June	9633	259	216824	6088
2^nd June	8821	221	207191	5829
1^st June	7761	200	198370	5608
30^th May	8336	205	181827	5185
29^th May	8105	269	173491	4980
28^th May	7300	177	165386	4711
27^th May	7293	190	158086	4534
26^th May	5843	172	150793	4344
25^th May	6414	148	144950	4172
24^th May	7113	156	138536	4024
23^rd May	6629	142	131423	3868
22^nd May	6568	142	124794	3726
21^st may	6198	150	118226	3584
20^th May	5553	132	112028	3434
19^th May	6147	146	106475	3302
18^th May	4630	131	100328	3156
17^th May	5050	154	95698	3025
16^th May	4864	118	90648	2781
15^th May	3787	104	85784	2753
14^th may	3942	98	81997	2649
13thMay	3763	136	78055	2551
12^th May	3524	121	74292	2415
11 May	3607	82	70,768	2294
10 May	4353	111	67161	2212
9 May	3113	116	62808	2101
8 May	3344	96	59695	1985
7 May	3364	104	56351	1889

India will be top4 today

#	Country, Other	Total Cases	New Cases	Total Deaths	New Deaths	Total Recovered	Active Cases	Serious, Critical	Tot Cases/ 1M pop	Deaths/ 1M pop	Total Tests	Tests/ 1M pop	Population
	World	7,446,229	+134,705	418,137	+5,165	3,730,056	3,298,036	53,812	955	53.6
1	USA	2,066,401	+20,852	115,130	+982	808,494	1,142,777	16,838	6,245	348	22,625,758	68,377	330,896,410
2	Brazil	775,184	+33,100	39,797	+1,300	380,300	355,087	8,318	3,648	187	1,182,581	5,566	212,475,738
3	Russia	493,657	+8,404	6,358	+216	252,783	234,516	2,300	3,383	44	13,545,303	92,820	145,931,211
4	UK	290,143	+1,003	41,128	+245	N/A	N/A	516	4,275	606	6,042,622	89,037	67,866,605
5	Spain	289,360	+314	27,136		N/A	N/A	617	6,189	580	4,465,338	95,507	46,753,838
6	India	287,155	+12,375	8,107	+388	140,979	138,069	8,944	208	6	5,061,332	3,670	1,379,233,699

India predictions :

>90% of people are symptomatic within 2 weeks of infection
Death Rate is deaths today vs number of cases today
Corrected Death Rate is deaths today vs number of cases 14 days back
For one symptomatic test positive case there are 10-30 asymptomatic cases
Estimated Number of deaths = Reported deaths x 2
Number of deaths today should be 15% of the serious patients present 14 days back
Undocumented cases for each documented case [Iceland: 1: 2; German: 1: 5; New York City grocery store shoppers: 1: 10;California 1.5%]
Amongst active 2.37% are serious, 1.82% need oxygen, and 0.41% need ventilator support.

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